Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.009953 0.011891 0.014269 0.017459 0.021718 0.027346 0.035601
2025-05-18 0.007322 0.009464 0.012415 0.016956 0.024132 0.035783 0.058079
2025-05-25 0.005822 0.007879 0.010916 0.016015 0.025057 0.042174 0.083195
2025-06-01 0.004904 0.006862 0.009904 0.015367 0.026003 0.049012 0.117633
2025-06-08 0.004427 0.006393 0.009603 0.015768 0.029000 0.062249 0.193064
2025-06-15 0.003965 0.005860 0.009071 0.015564 0.030634 0.073690 0.296102
2025-06-22 0.003498 0.005250 0.008289 0.014654 0.030253 0.079228 0.396403
2025-06-29 0.003245 0.004963 0.008038 0.014771 0.032518 0.096146 0.691390
2025-07-06 0.003082 0.004809 0.008003 0.015350 0.036375 0.124978 1.574426
2025-07-13 0.002995 0.004777 0.008195 0.016508 0.042746 0.179191 6.584776
2025-07-20 0.002859 0.004638 0.008148 0.017067 0.047590 0.239819 53.170487
2025-07-27 0.002700 0.004435 0.007932 0.017130 0.050723 0.300967 39051.232587
2025-08-03 0.002524 0.004203 0.007663 0.017109 0.054216 0.393802 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002333 0.003923 0.007255 0.016608 0.055475 0.478795 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002139 0.003618 0.006750 0.015692 0.054200 0.526114 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001984 0.003378 0.006366 0.015062 0.054079 0.606724 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001905 0.003285 0.006309 0.015451 0.060008 0.933898 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001802 0.003133 0.006089 0.015253 0.062455 1.250702 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001674 0.002917 0.005693 0.014367 0.059887 1.314452 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001607 0.002826 0.005591 0.014481 0.064341 2.030693 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001565 0.002785 0.005611 0.015045 0.073006 4.280452 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001548 0.002796 0.005765 0.016171 0.088616 18.164573 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001508 0.002752 0.005767 0.016714 0.100524 115.705655 NaN